Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AIOZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1.292180e-01 0.156514 0.186694 0.222340 0.263084 0.307998 0.361038
2025-10-26 8.104988e-02 0.115020 0.157109 0.212135 0.281151 0.363805 0.469139
2025-11-02 4.794095e-02 0.080827 0.126732 0.193069 0.283814 0.400823 0.559974
2025-11-09 3.048170e-02 0.061194 0.109334 0.185594 0.298123 0.452477 0.673772
2025-11-16 1.818166e-02 0.044364 0.090820 0.171567 0.299732 0.485918 0.765812
2025-11-23 1.076275e-02 0.032462 0.076227 0.159496 0.300972 0.517394 0.856546
2025-11-30 7.124570e-03 0.026275 0.069627 0.158733 0.318811 0.573975 0.986978
2025-12-07 4.749589e-03 0.021596 0.064347 0.158844 0.337440 0.632693 1.124216
2025-12-14 3.046927e-03 0.017477 0.058755 0.156871 0.351625 0.684872 1.254328
2025-12-21 2.086574e-03 0.014962 0.056012 0.159921 0.374851 0.753191 1.413537
2025-12-28 1.435506e-03 0.012974 0.053871 0.163688 0.399543 0.825408 1.582776
2026-01-04 1.110411e-03 0.012171 0.054794 0.174503 0.438910 0.925319 1.802228
2026-01-11 7.070091e-04 0.010330 0.052006 0.176377 0.461429 0.998699 1.984452
2026-01-18 3.965797e-04 0.008354 0.047850 0.173988 0.474973 1.057208 2.145492
2026-01-25 1.560112e-04 0.005889 0.040346 0.160816 0.463631 1.069010 2.227133
2026-02-01 6.594444e-05 0.004532 0.036289 0.156002 0.469801 1.113654 2.367866
2026-02-08 1.708454e-05 0.003115 0.030624 0.144616 0.459047 1.124505 2.448710
2026-02-15 2.738686e-06 0.002110 0.025899 0.134499 0.449521 1.136510 2.531624
2026-02-22 4.731957e-07 0.001674 0.024178 0.134066 0.463847 1.197474 2.707312
2026-03-01 3.373042e-08 0.001339 0.022756 0.134291 0.479827 1.262743 2.893814
2026-03-08 5.521241e-12 0.001023 0.020990 0.132629 0.490552 1.317542 3.062788
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000856 0.020354 0.135343 0.513423 1.399474 3.286836
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000725 0.019889 0.138672 0.538348 1.487168 3.525265